Food Security’s Unholy Trinity — Environmental Degradation, Climate Change, and Migration

Environmental Change, Migration and Conflict: Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Explorations

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts that climate change will induce considerable environmental degradation globally during this century. What are the implications of this prediction for the patterns of population migration and political conflict? Climate change is an evolving environmental phenomenon whose effects are not yet fully manifested. This paper strives to gain insig...

Supervenience, Emergence, and Epiphenomenalism: Physicalism’s Unholy Trinity

Climate Change, Migration and Agent-Based Modelling: Modelling the impact of climate change on forced migration in Burkina Faso

The likely manifestations of climate change include rising sea levels, deforestation, dryland degradation and natural disasters. Such environmental events and processes are expected to pose significant challenges for society in terms of their effect on development and livelihoods, settlement options, food production and disease. It has been predicted that these challenges to livelihoods in vuln...

Climate Change Impact on Quality of Life Indicators of Pastoralists (Case study: Rangelands of Haraz River Basin, Mazandaran province, Iran)

Climate changes pose great threats to the main services of ecosystems such as food security, water security and health. This research was carried out in Haraz river basin rangelands, Mazandaran province in the north of Iran in 2015-2017 to analyze the perspectives of Haraz river basin (HRB) pastoralists about climate change. From 5236 local pastoralists, the sample size was consisted of 350 one...

The Unholy Trinity: Fat Tails, Tail Dependence, and Micro-Correlations

Recent events in the financial and insurance markets, as well as the looming challenges of a globally changing climate point to the need to re-think the ways in which we measure and manage catastrophic and dependent risks. Management can only be as good as our measurement tools. To that end, this paper outlines detection, measurement, and analysis strategies for fat-tailed risks, tail dependent...